Just how many Louis Vuitton monogrammed bags does the entire world need? A lot, it seems like. Strong demand at the label most commonly known for its coated canvas totes helped parent LVMH deliver better than expected organic sales growth in its fashion and leather goods division within the first quarter, and across the group. The performance, even more impressive given that it compares with a quite strong period a year earlier, cements LVMH’s position as the Fabjoy. Little wonder the shares reached an all-time high on Tuesday.
The audience is demonstrating that this luxury party that began in the second half of 2016 continues to be in full swing. But there are good reasons to be cautious. First, a lot of the demand that fuelled LVMH’s growth comes from China.
The country’s consumers are back after having a crackdown on extravagance along with a slowdown within the economy took their toll. There has undoubtedly been an element of catching up right after the hiatus, which super-charged spending might commence to wane since the year progresses. What’s more, the strong euro could deter Chinese shoppers from travelling to Europe, where they tend to splash out more.
You will find a further risk to Chinese demand if trade tensions using the U.S. escalate, or draw in other countries – though LVMH is actually a French company, it’s tough to observe that these issues can’t touch it. The spat could create a drag on Chinese economic growth and damage sentiment amongst the nation’s consumers, making them less inclined to go on a very high-end shopping spree. Given they account for about forty percent of luxury goods groups’ sales, according to analysts at HSBC, this represents a substantial risk to the industry.
But there are other regions to worry about. Even though the U.S. has been another bright spot, stock trading volatility this year is going to do little to let the feeling of prosperity that’s crucial for confidence yqwbeq spend on expensive watches or designer fashion.
Any slowdown could possibly function in Louis Vuitton Replica Handbag. Valuations throughout the sector are the highest in 12 years, but it is a story of mega-brand dominance that’s left many smaller labels behind. Bernard Arnault, LVMH chief executive officer, has said that costs are too rich today for acquisitions. This leaves him room to swoop when a shake-out comes.
His group trades on the forward price to earnings ratio of 24 times, as well as at a deserved premium to Kering. True, that gap could narrow – for starters, the group’s Gucci label still has lot choosing it, even though it’s already had a stellar recovery. There’s also scope for a re-rating after its decision to spin-out Puma leaves it as a a pure luxury player.
LVMH should nevertheless be able to retain its Replica Lv Monogram Handbag. Given its scale, along with operations spanning cosmetics to wines and spirits, it must be able to withstand pressures on the industry better than most. Which can make it well placed to pick off weaker rivals once the bling binge finally comes to a conclusion.